China Economic Review
Charting China’s changing economic terrain · Since 1990

China exports miss forecasts

October 15, 2024

China’s export growth slowed sharply in September while imports also unexpectedly decelerated, undershooting forecasts by big margins and suggesting manufacturers are slashing prices to move inventory ahead of tariffs from several trade partners, reports Reuters. Outbound shipments from the world’s second-largest economy grew 2.4% year-on-year last month, the slowest pace since April, customs data showed on Monday, missing a forecast 6.0% increase in a Reuters poll of economists and a 8.7% rise in August.

Export momentum had been one bright spot for the Chinese economy that has struggled to gain traction due to weak domestic demand and a property market debt crisis, adding to the urgency for stronger stimulus.

Imports edged up 0.3%, missing expectations for a 0.9% rise and softer than 0.5% growth previously. The weak data does not bode well for exports in coming months as just under a third of China’s purchases are parts for re-export, particularly in the electronics sector.