China and India will not become major players in long-haul air travel until at least 2030, according to a study published Thursday. This conclusion flies in the face of fears that airlines will be transformed by low-cost Asian economies in the same way that the manufacturing and information technology industries have been, the Financial Times reported. The study by the Boston Consulting Group, which looked at long-haul outbound trips versus GDP per capita since 2003 in a number of countries, found that the US, Japan and UK have much stronger growth prospects for the next 25 years. This is based on the theory that long-haul air travel is only significantly altered when a country's GDP per capita exceeds US$15,000. China's GDP per capita currently stands at US$1,200 and isnï¿½t expected to cross the US$15,000 threshold until 2030, while India will have to wait until 2040.