China Economic Review
Charting China’s changing economic terrain · Since 1990

Moody’s, Fitch downgrade China outlooks

April 15, 2011

Rating agency Moody’s (MCO.NYSE) downgraded its outlook on China’s property sector from stable to negative, on concerns that liquidity tightening will trigger a slowdown over the next 18 months, MarketWatch reported. “The market now faces a cooling period” due to stricter measures on property purchases unveiled by the State Council in January, Hong Kong-based analysts wrote in the report. Moody’s said it expects a “mild downward” correction in property prices in China’s first- and second-tier cities, but didn’t provide specific forecasts on the size of the expected price drop. Earlier this week, Fitch Ratings issued a negative outlook on China’s long-term local currency default rating, saying that it expected the government to have to provide some support to state-owned banks, the Wall Street Journal reported.  The agency added that rising real estate valuations and inflation add to the risks of macro-financial stability.

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