China’s trade surplus with Africa hit a record high of $102 billion in 2025, up from $62 billion the year before. The total export revenue was $225 billion, almost double African shipments to China which generated $123 billion.
Analysts have said that the spike in Africa-trade may be in response to the pressures on China’s exports from other regions, such as the US and EU. China’s manufacturing capabilities have got to the point where its factories can produce a seemingly unlimited amount of anything. But all those products have to go somewhere, and for now, Africa and the Global South seem to be more willing to accept them.
In these developing regions, Chinese products are less likely to be replacing ones that are made locally. Hence less immediate friction. However, such massive trade imbalances are inherently disruptive and unstable. Perhaps longer term, Chinese companies shifting production to Africa may be the best option. With the gains being made in manufacturing automation, setting up shop anywhere is now more feasible than ever.